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Old 10-17-2013, 09:45 AM   #1
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2013-14 here we come!
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Old 10-17-2013, 10:05 AM   #2
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The latter half of October looks COLD. The High Country might have it's first freeze next week.

5 Day Average Temp Anomaly for 21st through 25th


5 Day Average Temp Anomaly for 26th through 30th
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Old 10-17-2013, 08:10 PM   #3
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Nice maps Kenny.
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Old 10-22-2013, 09:09 AM   #4
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Some one busted out his crayola water colors.
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Old 11-07-2013, 09:34 AM   #5
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So next week is looking more and more interesting. The Euro went batshit crazy on Tuesday showing a storm on the east coast. Nobody believed it. It then chilled out for a bit. Now, the GFS and the ECMWF are showing similar scenarios in terms of a winter storm for the east...a cold airmass moving in while a low forms off the NC coast. This is the perfect recipe. It's still a week-ish away though, and this could easily not happen. Cross your fingers though and READ THE BOTTOM PARAGRAPH OF THIS POST.



Here's the Euro meteogram for Boone. It goes out to next Saturday, and shows cold temps sticking around for next Wednesday through at least the end of the time period.



Now here's the snowfall totals from the models right now for Wednesday through Friday of next week. Euro on the left, GFS on the right.



This is still 6-7 days out. This is not a forecast, it's just a look at what's going on right now with the models. They've have been sucking lately for the medium to long range and have been flip flopping around, so this could change even today. Both are showing similar things though, which is the interesting part. If this does pan out, or even close to it, I think we could definitely see Sugar and Cat open by next weekend. The confidence in this happening is still on the low side though. I'm still pessimistic. I'll try and keep this updated.
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Old 11-07-2013, 09:40 AM   #6
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snow + stoke = SNOWWWWKE
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Old 11-07-2013, 10:15 AM   #7
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kendog with the lies

its 2 weeks out brah, 11/22
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Old 11-07-2013, 03:15 PM   #8
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The 12Z Euro was so absurd, I'm not even going to post it. The snowfall totals it was spitting out were just absurd and highly unlikely. The GFS and the Euro differ on the timing and evolution of the event, but both are showing cold air no matter what. At this point, the potential for some snow in the mountains looks good, nobody knows how much though. As Panovich just tweeted...

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Old 11-07-2013, 04:32 PM   #9
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^ i cant tell but is rock hill included in the blue area? i've got **** to build down there
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Old 11-07-2013, 04:36 PM   #10
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Now the Weather Channel is talking about this. Hope it happens!
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Old 11-07-2013, 05:24 PM   #11
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I just need cat to.open on thursday. Please please happen. Wouldn't be upset if I got a place to stay thursday night in Clemson after tech beats them.
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Old 11-07-2013, 09:05 PM   #12
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The 26th is the winning date aka ME
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Old 11-07-2013, 09:07 PM   #13
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Logan are you gonna come by the tailgate and have a drink?
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Old 11-08-2013, 01:46 AM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Mr.ClemsonKeri View Post
Logan are you gonna come by the tailgate and have a drink?

yeah sure man. Where are yall gonna be tailgating?
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Old 11-08-2013, 09:54 AM   #15
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Here's where we're at this morning guys. Basically, the Euro model (the king of models) is our friend right now. All models show a front moving through Tuesday and then some snow in the mountains Tuesday night. However, after that is when they begin to diverge. Here are the two scenarios developing.

The Euro has a pocket of cold air getting pinched off from the upper trough and meandering over the region for a few days. It also has a coastal low forming and moving up the eastern seaboard. This would be good. We could see around the clock snowmaking Wednesday through Friday and higher snow totals. This model is an outlier right now though.

Most other models show the trough progressing through quickly and exiting Wednesday night. They don't show a low forming on the coast either. This solution would mainly confine snow to the frontal passage on Tuesday night. Temps would be warmer for Thursday and Friday, but overnight lows would still support snowmaking.

Here are the Euro (left) and GFS (right) meteograms for Boone between now and next Friday/Saturday. As you can see, the Euro shows sub freezing temps for an extended period of time. The GFS is warmer but still has sub freezing lows at night. It also has way less precip.



This isn't a forecast. Things will change over the weekend I'm sure. The last 3 runs of the Euro has seen the axis of snow go from the east coast to the spine of the Appalachians and then back again to the east coast. The weekend runs will give us a better idea of what's to come.

I will say that even if the GFS pans out, I am still optimistic about a Sugar opening. A little bit of snow combined with several nights of snowmaking and I could definitely see them pull the trigger.
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